Polymarket, a popular betting platform, is providing insights into where the cryptocurrency market might be headed in 2025. From Bitcoin’s price targets to the likelihood of new crypto ETFs, bettors are making predictions on key industry events. Here’s a look at the top forecasts and what they could mean for the future of crypto.
One of the biggest questions in the crypto world is how high Bitcoin’s price will go this year. According to Polymarket bettors, the chances of Bitcoin reaching certain price milestones are as follows:
For more extreme price points:
At the beginning of 2025, there was a 71 percent chance of Bitcoin reaching 120,000 dollars, which peaked at 87 percent on January 22. However, after Donald Trump’s inauguration, confidence in this prediction has steadily declined, reaching its lowest level since early January.
Another key question on Polymarket is whether Donald Trump will establish a Bitcoin reserve within his first 100 days in office.
Polymarket bettors are also speculating on the approval of new cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The current probabilities for each are:
Despite market fluctuations, there is a 20% chance that Bitcoin will set a new all-time high in 2025, according to Polymarket bettors.
While some companies continue to push for greater crypto adoption, others could face challenges.
Polymarket’s predictions show both confidence and skepticism in the crypto space. While many expect Bitcoin’s price to rise and new ETFs to emerge, concerns remain about corporate stability and Trump’s role in Bitcoin adoption. Whether these bets turn out to be correct or not, Polymarket remains an interesting way to gauge market sentiment.
Polymarket bettors estimate a 6% chance that Amazon will purchase Bitcoin by June 2025.
Projecting a 10-year growth in a volatile asset like Bitcoin seems a far-stretched notion. The BTC price is expected to cross $600,000 by 2030. With global adoption, Bitcoin could be worth 1 million dollars.
Strategy holds 499,096 BTC, acquired for ~$33.1 billion at an average price of ~$66,357 per Bitcoin.
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