Polymarket’s Crypto Predictions for 2025: New ETFs, Bitcoin Price, and Trump’s Impact

Polymarket, a popular betting platform, is providing insights into where the cryptocurrency market might be headed in 2025. From Bitcoin’s price targets to the likelihood of new crypto ETFs, bettors are making predictions on key industry events. Here’s a look at the top forecasts and what they could mean for the future of crypto.

Bitcoin’s Price Predictions for 2025

One of the biggest questions in the crypto world is how high Bitcoin’s price will go this year. According to Polymarket bettors, the chances of Bitcoin reaching certain price milestones are as follows:

• 69 percent chance it will hit 70,000 dollars
• 59 percent chance it will reach 110,000 dollars
• 47 percent chance of hitting 120,000 dollars
• 37 percent probability for 130,000 dollars
• 29 percent chance of reaching 150,000 dollars

For more extreme price points:

• 4 percent chance Bitcoin will reach 1 million dollars
• 12 percent chance of hitting 250,000 dollars
• 15 percent chance of reaching 200,000 dollars

At the beginning of 2025, there was a 71 percent chance of Bitcoin reaching 120,000 dollars, which peaked at 87 percent on January 22. However, after Donald Trump’s inauguration, confidence in this prediction has steadily declined, reaching its lowest level since early January.

Will Trump Create a Bitcoin Reserve?

Another key question on Polymarket is whether Donald Trump will establish a Bitcoin reserve within his first 100 days in office.

• On January 20, the probability was 48 percent
• By early March, it dropped to just 11 percent
• On March 7, it rebounded sharply to 45 percent
• Since then, it has steadily declined and now stands at 22 percent

The Odds of New Crypto ETFs

Polymarket bettors are also speculating on the approval of new cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The current probabilities for each are:

• Solana ETF: 89% (the highest probability)
• XRP ETF: 77%
• Litecoin ETF: 72%
• Dogecoin ETF: 69%
• Cardano ETF: 68%

Despite market fluctuations, there is a 20% chance that Bitcoin will set a new all-time high in 2025, according to Polymarket bettors.

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Could Major Crypto Players Face Trouble?

While some companies continue to push for greater crypto adoption, others could face challenges.

• Strategy, the public company with the largest Bitcoin holdings, has a 12 percent chance of going bankrupt this year, according to Polymarket bettors.
• Bybit, a leading crypto exchange, has a 7 percent probability of shutting down in 2025.
• There is also a 6 percent chance that Amazon will buy Bitcoin by June.

Polymarket’s predictions show both confidence and skepticism in the crypto space. While many expect Bitcoin’s price to rise and new ETFs to emerge, concerns remain about corporate stability and Trump’s role in Bitcoin adoption. Whether these bets turn out to be correct or not, Polymarket remains an interesting way to gauge market sentiment.

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