Pi Network Will Take Years to Deliver Real Value, Warns Analyst

After Dr. Nicolas Kokkalis delivered an inspiring keynote at Consensus 2025, outlining Pi Network’s AI-era ambitions and decentralized future, a respected altcoin expert, known as Dr. Altcoin on X, issued a grounded response that challenges the overly bullish outlook.

While Kokkalis spotlighted Open Mainnet, a thriving ecosystem of over a thousand apps, and real-world use cases, Dr. Altcoin pointed out serious structural and executional hurdles that could delay true ecosystem growth for several years.

1. Ecosystem Expansion Needs a Proper Venture Team

Dr. Kokkalis mentioned the increasing number of applications being built on Pi. However, Dr. Altcoin stressed that a dedicated venture support arm is essential for real growth. Without it, developer efforts may stall due to lack of funding and strategic guidance.

2. Project Funding Selection Could Take 6–12 Months

While the high application count reflects interest, Dr. Altcoin explained that selecting viable projects for funding is a time-consuming process. Vetting, evaluating, and shortlisting projects could take at least 6 to 12 months.

3. Fund Disbursement Will Add Another 3–6 Months

Even after projects are selected, disbursing funds isn’t immediate. Dr. Altcoin estimates that developers will likely face a wait of 3 to 6 months before receiving financial support, slowing the ecosystem rollout.

4. DApp Development Will Take 1–2 Years

Dr. Altcoin raised concerns over the quality of current DApps, stating that building applications with real-world utility and security will take 1 to 2 years. Current excitement over quantity, he argues, is misplaced without quality and functionality.

5. Full Ecosystem Maturity May Take Up to 5 Years

According to Dr. Altcoin, a fully developed Pi Network ecosystem — complete with solid infrastructure, funding, and quality applications — is likely 2.5 to 5 years away. The process includes:

• Forming a capable venture support team
  
• Filtering and funding promising projects
  
• Development and launch of secure DApps
  
• Scaling adoption and real-world use cases
  

6. PI Token Could See Temporary Surge to $2–$3

In the short term, Dr. Altcoin predicts a potential spike in PI’s price to around $2–$3 if major exchange listings occur. However, he cautions this would be speculative in nature and not tied to actual ecosystem maturity.

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7. Pi Price Today: Volatility Remains High

• Past 30 days: Up 14.3%
  
• Past 14 days: Up 18.6%
  
• Last 24 hours: Down 18.4%
  
• Last 1 hour: Down 2.7%
  

The current dip shows just how volatile Pi still is, despite community excitement.

Conclusion: Vision vs. Reality

Dr. Kokkalis painted a hopeful future, but Dr. Altcoin’s response delivers a necessary reality check. Building a decentralized, functional Pi Network will require years of structured effort, not just speeches and milestones.His final advice to the Pi community: “Lower your expectations for the next five years.”

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