Historical Trends Suggest Altcoins Will Peak in October 2025, 546 Days Post-halving

When will the altcoin bull run commence? This question is on every investor’s mind right now, but a definitive answer is yet to be provided. However, on the latest episode of Working Channel Money, the analyst noted that in both previous cycles, altcoins peaked exactly 546 days post-halving. 

If this cycle follows the same pattern, it suggests an altcoin peak by October 2025, coinciding with the market peak estimates. This pattern was observed in 2016 and 2020, and the analyst is projecting the same for 2025.

However, some factors like cycle acceleration and macro influences might lead to an earlier peak. While relying on only two data points might be overly simplistic, it still suggests we are early in the altcoin cycle. Currently, Bitcoin dominance is rising, and altcoins have taken a back seat despite increased 24-hour trading volumes. Recent sell-offs have been observed, but the market cap holds around $2.45 trillion with neutral sentiment.

Looking at the total market cap for altcoins excluding Bitcoin, the analyst said that it is about 60% off its all-time high. Typically, once the all-time high is reached, altcoins rally significantly. Given it is already some time post-halving, achieving another 60% rise to the peak and the subsequent blow-off top could happen within the 546-day window.

For altcoins excluding both Bitcoin and Ethereum, the market cap is about 75% off its all-time high. This suggests substantial room for growth. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $66,800 with minimal volatility. The altcoin market experienced minor fluctuations recently, but significant upward moves are expected, with potential daily gains of 10-90% during the Euphoria phase.

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