Crypto Spot ETFs in U.S. on Hold, Yet Polymarket Predicts Over 70% Approval Chance for XRP and Other Altcoins in 2025

The wait for crypto spot ETFs in the U.S. continues, but the market isn’t losing hope. In the latest round of updates, the SEC has once again delayed its decision on the much-talked-about Cardano (ADA) ETF. Meanwhile, 21Shares has stepped up and filed for a Dogecoin (DOGE) ETF, and the WisdomTree spot XRP ETF has officially entered a 21-day public comment period. The SEC has also delayed its decision on Franklin Templeton’s proposed spot XRP ETF, pushing the review deadline to June 17, 2025.

With ETF headlines popping up almost every day, investors are looking for clues about what’s coming next. That’s where prediction market platform Polymarket comes in — and its numbers are painting a bullish picture for some of crypto’s biggest names.

According to Polymarket, five out of six major altcoins — XRP, Solana (SOL), Dogecoin, Cardano, and Litecoin (LTC) — now have more than a 68% chance of getting spot ETF approval in 2025. Right now, XRP leads the pack with an 83% probability, while Dogecoin holds the lowest odds in the group at 68%.

Interestingly, odds for Cardano, Dogecoin, and Litecoin have jumped sharply since these prediction markets opened, moving from below 50% to over 70% today. XRP and Solana started off strong and continue to hover around the 80% mark.

Not all coins are seeing the same excitement though — meme favorite PEPE stands at just a 9% chance of ETF approval.

With SEC decisions dragging and ETF speculation heating up, 2025 is shaping up to be a crucial year for crypto investors hoping for new entry points into the market through regulated ETFs. And if Polymarket’s odds are anything to go by, big things could be around the corner for altcoins.