
Coinbase is facing criticism after an AI-generated notification falsely claimed Norway had defeated Brazil 3-2 in a FIFA World Cup match that had not even kicked off. The incident has sparked fresh concerns about the company’s growing use of AI and the reliability of its prediction market products.
The notification, sent through Coinbase’s prediction market feature, claimed Norway had beaten Brazil 3-2, with Erling Haaland scoring twice. However, users quickly noticed something was wrong.
At the time the alert was sent, the match had not started. In fact, Coinbase’s own prediction market page showed the game was under a weather delay, meaning no official result existed.
Crypto commentator Jay Drain Jr. criticized the mistake, writing that Coinbase was “hallucinating results” and sending factually incorrect breaking news to millions of users. He called the incident “dangerous and irresponsible.” Additionally, he warned that AI errors in financial products can influence trading decisions.
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong responded soon after the issue surfaced. “Taking a look with the team – thx for reporting it.”
A few hours later, Coinbase executive Max Branzburg confirmed the company had fixed the incorrect story.
“We fixed the incorrect story and made some updates to avoid these types of inaccuracies in the future.”
He added that AI-powered market insights are promising but still require further improvements to prevent similar mistakes. Branzburg even joked that the AI “may have known something we didn’t,” since Norway eventually did win the match and Haaland scored twice. However, the alert had been sent long before the game was played.
The mistake comes at an awkward time for Coinbase.
Armstrong has repeatedly described prediction markets as powerful “truth-seeking” tools. He argues that markets with financial incentives often produce better information than traditional media.
However, this incident has raised doubts about that claim, especially as Coinbase increasingly relies on AI across its products. The company has previously revealed that nearly 40% of its code is now AI-generated. It plans to push that figure even higher.
Some users defended Coinbase, noting that AI technology is still changing. Others argued prediction markets should remain separate from the main Coinbase app instead of being promoted directly to everyday users.
The incident also shows a broader challenge facing the crypto industry. While AI can improve trading tools and market analysis, inaccurate information in financial products can quickly damage user trust. Furthermore, it can potentially influence markets if proper safeguards aren’t in place.
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