Can Cardano Overtake BNB? Analyst Sets Double-Digit Target For ADA

Crypto analysts are increasingly confident that the altcoin season has arrived. Two long-awaited factors are finally aligning: regulatory clarity in the United States and fresh liquidity from expected Federal Reserve rate cuts. 

BNB recently overtook Solana (SOL) to secure the fifth spot in global market capitalization rankings. However, some experts argue that BNB’s strength is largely tied to the Binance exchange rather than its blockchain fundamentals.

“If Binance were to lose its market share or face disruption, BNB’s value could collapse,” the expert said. “BNB is not sustainable in the long run.”

Why Cardano Could Catch Up

By contrast, Cardano (ADA) is viewed as more resilient because its value is not tied to the success of a single exchange. The network’s proof-of-stake model is decentralized, with thousands of validators worldwide.

They said, “ADA will definitely catch up to $BNB. It will surpass $3.61 in a short amount of time. That’s because ADA value isn’t dependent on a specific exchange.”

A Realistic Range of $5 to $6

A more balanced view by Crypto Capital Venture puts ADA’s next target around $4.90 to $5.00. This comes from measuring its past cycles, where ADA often reached and then went above these levels. If it repeats the same pattern, a rise toward $6.40 is possible.

This makes the $5–$6 zone a realistic price range for the current cycle. Market risk levels are still low, which means ADA has room to grow before conditions get overheated.

Can ADA Reach $12?

Cardano’s price pattern also points to the chance of a strong breakout. If this plays out, ADA could climb as high as $12 in the coming years. This would likely happen during an extended crypto bull run, not in a quick move. Cardano has already shown a habit of long periods of sideways movement followed by sharp gains, which supports this outlook.

Market Cap Targets

Price growth must also be compared with total market value. If Cardano repeats its past cycle growth, it could reach around $7.25, giving it a market value close to $291 billion. Even with smaller gains, a range of $5–$10 per ADA looks practical.

These figures show that ADA has the potential to deliver strong growth, with the most likely outcomes sitting between $5 and $10, while $12 remains the upper target if the market enters a very strong cycle.