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Bitcoin Price Reaction to Fed Rates: Key Insights for Crypto Traders

Published by
Vignesh S G

In its latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced yesterday that it will keep interest rates unchanged at 4.25%-4.5%. Every Fed decision impacts financial markets, and Bitcoin is no exception. Over the past 24 hours, BTC has climbed 3.1%, reflecting investor optimism.

But how has Bitcoin reacted to past rate changes? And what might happen next? Let’s take a closer look.

The Fed’s Tightening Cycle

In April 2022, the federal funds rate was just 0.5%. However, inflation surged to 8.6% by May and peaked at 9.1% in June—the highest level in over a decade. To fight rising prices, the Fed began increasing interest rates.

Between May 2022 and July 2023, rates steadily climbed, reaching 5.5% by mid-2023. The rate then remained unchanged until August 2024, as inflation gradually cooled.

By August 2024, inflation had dropped to 2.5%, prompting the Fed to shift its stance. In September, it cut rates from 5.5% to 5%. Another reduction in November brought it to 4.75%, followed by a final cut in December to 4.5%.

These cuts fueled Bitcoin’s rally. After the September rate drop, BTC surged 10% in just ten days, marking the start of a strong bull run.

Bitcoin’s Response to Recent FOMC Meetings

2025: The Fed Pauses – Will Bitcoin Hold Its Gains?

At the January 2025 FOMC meeting, the Fed chose to keep rates at 4.5%, shifting to a “wait and see” approach. By then, Bitcoin had lost some bullish momentum but had still reached an ATH of $109K.

The Fed may be on pause, but Bitcoin never really stops. Whether it’s another surge or a cooldown, one thing’s certain – volatility is part of the ride.

FAQs

How high can Bitcoin go in 2025?

As per Coinpedia’s BTC price prediction, 1 BTC could peak at $169,046 this year if the bullish sentiment sustains.

How much will 1 Bitcoin be worth in 2030?

With increased adoption, the price of 1 Bitcoin could reach a height of $610,646 in 2030.

How much would the price of Bitcoin be in 2040?

As per our latest BTC price analysis, the Bitcoin could reach a maximum price of $5,148,828.

Vignesh S G

Vignesh is a young journalist with a decade of experience. A proud alumnus of IIJNM, Bengaluru, he spent six years as a Sub-Editor for a leading business magazine, published from Kerala. His interest in futuristic technologies took him to a US-based software company specialising in Web3, Blockchain and AI. This stint inspired him to view the future of journalism through the lens of next generation technologies. Now, he covers the crypto scene for Coinpedia, uncovering a vibrant new world where technology and journalism converge.

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