Bitcoin has been trading within a narrow range for over 200 days. During this time, altcoins have also remained at similar price levels, leading to a sense of stagnation in the market. Analyst Michael Van De Poppe said that while the market is dull, he expects changes are on the horizon.
The longer an asset stays in a range, the more major the potential breakout can be. The analyst pointed to historical examples, such as the range Bitcoin traded in from April to October 2020 (between $8,000 and $12,000) before breaking out into a bull market. Similarly, in 2015-2016, Bitcoin consolidated before experiencing a major upward movement.
Bitcoin is showing lower and lower highs, indicating a potential downtrend. However, there are signs of a reversal, as recent movements suggest the formation of a higher high and possibly a higher low. If this trend continues, the analyst believes Bitcoin could reach around $90,000 in the next few weeks.
While Bitcoin has reached new all-time highs, altcoins have not performed as well and are lagging significantly. The total market cap for altcoins is still about 50% below its all-time high. The analyst pointed out that if the total altcoin market cap breaks above $660 billion, it could trigger a substantial rally across the market.
The analyst believes the current market dynamics may not strictly follow the traditional four-year cycle, as liquidity plays a crucial role. Increased liquidity in the market, particularly through the U.S. dollar, could lead to significant price increases for Bitcoin.
Recent charts suggest we are entering the final year of the current bull cycle, with significant price peaks typically occurring in late November or early December. The analyst drew parallels to past cycles, predicting that we could see a peak of $300,000 to $400,000 for Bitcoin by 2026, depending on liquidity conditions.
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