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Bitcoin Price Crash Coming? Analyst Predicts 80% Drop Soon

Published by
Vignesh S G and Qadir AK

Bitcoin may seem bullish right now, but a leading crypto analyst has issued a shocking warning: a crash of over 80% could be just around the corner. While Bitcoin has climbed 3.3% in the last 30 days and currently trades at $108,161, concerns are building beneath the surface.

Crypto analyst EDO FARINA XRP, who commands a following of more than 167,000 on X, believes Bitcoin’s rally is dangerously overheated. In a recent post, he predicted that a sudden, sharp correction is not just possible—it’s imminent. And when it hits, he warns, it will be fast and severe.

Bitcoin Market Is Overheating

According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s recent surge isn’t backed by fundamentals. Since the U.S. political shift in November 2024, Bitcoin has surged by nearly 60%. In Q2 2025 alone, it delivered a quarterly return of 29.9%, and so far in July, it has grown by nearly 1%.

But the economic backdrop tells a different story. Inflation in the U.S. has eased to 2.4%, close to the Federal Reserve’s target. Still, GDP growth is slowing—projected to drop to 1.8% in 2025. The labor market is cooling too, with unemployment rising to 4.1% in June, while consumer spending is expected to weaken. The analyst suggests this kind of economic environment doesn’t support such an aggressive BTC rally.

Missed the Bitcoin Boom?

EDO FARINA argues that the best time to buy Bitcoin was years ago. In 2020, BTC returned a staggering 304.1%, followed by a solid 59.6% in 2021. Although 2022 saw a major correction with a 64.3% drop, the market bounced back strongly—posting gains of 115.4% in 2023 and 121.1% in 2024. 

According to the analyst, today’s price level is no longer ideal for those seeking “safe” long-term gains.

Bitcoin Whales Are Allegedly Selling

Another red flag is the behavior of Bitcoin whales. The analyst claims that large holders, especially those owning Satoshi-era coins, are moving their BTC to exchanges. Each time the price approaches the critical $110,000 level, it faces strong resistance.

For instance, on May 22, BTC touched $111,662. But by the next day, the market dropped nearly 4%. On June 10, Bitcoin climbed to $110,266, only to fall by more than 8% over the next 12 days. A similar trend occurred on July 3, when BTC touched $110,681 and dropped by 1.44% the very next day.

These repeated sell-offs around the $110K mark suggest that whales are actively cashing out, keeping Bitcoin from breaking out to a new high.

The Real Concern: Low Trading Volume

According to Farina, what’s even more dangerous than whale selling is the low trading volume in the current market. Compared to previous bull runs, fewer retail investors are buying. The analyst argues that today’s price action is driven by a few large players, not widespread demand.

This poses a serious risk. If whales decide to dump their holdings all at once, there may not be enough buying support to hold the price up. This lack of liquidity could trigger a cascade of sell-offs and lead to a massive crash.

Could Bitcoin Crash Soon?

Farina believes the crash will be triggered by a major, unexpected event—what’s often called a “black swan” in financial markets. Once it happens, the crash will be swift and brutal, catching most investors off-guard.

He concludes that Bitcoin’s current high is artificially inflated and not supported by real market activity. Without strong and broad demand, the price could collapse quickly when the pressure hits.

While Bitcoin’s price action appears bullish, the warning signs are hard to ignore. Whale movements, resistance at $110K, weak economic fundamentals, and low volume suggest that the rally might not be as healthy as it looks. Whether this ends in a soft pullback or a dramatic crash, investors may want to stay alert.

FAQs

How is Bitcoin performing today?

As of July 5, 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $107,493, down about 2.14% today according to CoinDesk data from July 4, 2025. It snapped a two-day winning streak but is up 0.57% this week and 15.07% year-to-date.

How high can Bitcoin’s price go in July 2025?

Some predictions for July 2025 suggest Bitcoin could reach a maximum price of $125,000, with an average around $115,000. Historically, July has been a positive month for Bitcoin, showing an average gain of over 9.1% over the past five years.

Will Bitcoin hit a new All-Time High (ATH) in the near future?

Bitcoin’s all-time high was $111,970 on May 22, 2025. Some analysts believe a decisive break above the $110,000-$112,000 resistance could propel BTC towards a new high of $120,000 or beyond, especially if supported by strong institutional buying.

How high can Bitcoin’s price go in 2025?

Some analysts project Bitcoin could average around $125,027 in 2025, potentially reaching highs of $168,000 to $175,000. Factors like institutional interest and mainstream adoption could drive this growth, though regulatory uncertainty remains a risk.

Vignesh S G and Qadir AK

Vignesh is a young journalist with a decade of experience. A proud alumnus of IIJNM, Bengaluru, he spent six years as a Sub-Editor for a leading business magazine, published from Kerala. His interest in futuristic technologies took him to a US-based software company specialising in Web3, Blockchain and AI. This stint inspired him to view the future of journalism through the lens of next generation technologies. Now, he covers the crypto scene for Coinpedia, uncovering a vibrant new world where technology and journalism converge.

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