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Arthur Hayes Reveals Best Bitcoin Buy Strategy & Price Targets for Crypto Investors

Published by
Sohrab Khawas

Bitcoin’s market has surged by an impressive 51.11% since the political shift in the United States. On December 5, 2024, it hit the $100K mark, and the current price stands at $102,517.99. However, Arthur Hayes , co-founder of bitMEX , has a cautious outlook. In his recent essay “The Ugly,” he predicts a potential 30% drop in BTC’s price, comparing today’s market conditions to those of late 2021.

Despite this prediction, Hayes remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term future. He believes that after a short-term pullback, the price could reach $250,000. Let’s break down his analysis further.

The Market in 2021 vs. Now: A Familiar Pattern?

Hayes draws several comparisons between the current market and the one from late 2021. On November 10, 2021, Bitcoin reached a yearly high of $69,106.40, only to fall by over 30% in the following weeks, dropping to around $47,000 by the end of the year. The fourth quarter of 2021 saw Bitcoin’s quarterly returns fall sharply from 25.5% to just 5.6%.

Hayes predicts that Bitcoin could see a similar drop this time, potentially falling to $70,000 – $75,000. However, he still believes in Bitcoin’s long-term growth, forecasting a rise to as high as $250,000 after the pullback.

Why the Pullback? Key Economic Factors at Play

Hayes attributes the potential pullback to several factors. Central banks in major economies like the US, China, and Japan are tightening liquidity, which could create turbulence in global markets. Rising bond yields and increasing economic and political uncertainty in important economies are also contributing to the market’s volatility.

Hayes’ Strategy: Key Levels to Watch

In his essay, Hayes shares two strategies for navigating the potential pullback. First, he plans to buy more Bitcoin if the price drops below $75,000. On the other hand, if Bitcoin’s price breaks above $110,000 with strong trading volume, he would also consider buying more.

The Altcoin Market: A Bigger Risk, But a Possible Opportunity

While Hayes expects a 30% drop in Bitcoin’s price, he warns that the altcoin market could face even bigger losses. However, he also sees a silver lining in large altcoin liquidations. Such events could present an opportunity for savvy investors to buy at lower prices.

Arthur Hayes believes Bitcoin could experience a 30% drop, but he remains confident in its long-term potential. He predicts that Bitcoin will eventually reach $250,000, despite the short-term challenges ahead.

His strategy is simple: buy if the price falls below $75,000 or if it rises above $110,000 with strong momentum.

FAQs

How much will 1 Bitcoin be worth in 2025?

As per Coinpedia’s BTC price prediction, 1 BTC could peak at $169,046.

How much will $1 Bitcoin be worth in 2030?

In 2030, the price of 1 Bitcoin could reach a height of $610,646.

What will Bitcoin be in 10 years?

Projecting a 10-year growth in a volatile asset like Bitcoin seems a far-stretched notion. The BTC price is expected to cross $600,000 by 2030. With global adoption, Bitcoin could be worth 1 million dollars.

How much would the price of Bitcoin be in 2040?

As per our latest BTC price analysis, the Bitcoin could reach a maximum price of $5,148,828.

Sohrab Khawas

Sohrab is a passionate cryptocurrency news writer with over five years of experience covering the industry. He keeps a keen interest in blockchain technology and its potential to revolutionize finance. Whether he's trading or writing, Sohrab always keeps his finger on the pulse of the crypto world, using his expertise to deliver informative and engaging articles that educate and inspire. When he's not analyzing the markets, Sohrab indulges in his hobbies of graphic design, minimal design or listening to his favorite hip-hop tunes.

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