Bitcoin Inflows Spike $1.8B Ahead of CPI Release Today

Bitcoin is making headlines not just for its price movement but for what’s happening behind the scenes.

In the days leading up to the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on April 10, crypto investors moved a massive 22,000 BTC—worth around $1.82 billion—into Binance. That’s a serious amount of money changing hands in a short time. But why now? And what does it say about where the market is headed?

According to CryptoQuant analyst Maarten Regterschot, this big jump suggests investors are adjusting their positions amid growing uncertainty, especially around Donald Trump’s new tariff policy and the outlook on inflation.

As macro uncertainty grows, investors seem to be bracing for impact. Some say this could mean a sell-off is coming. Others believe it’s just the start of a bigger play.

Either way, it’s a moment worth watching.

Red Flag or Routine? Why Big Bitcoin Transfers Raise Eyebrows

When large amounts of crypto move onto exchanges, it often signals traders are preparing to sell. That’s why this spike in inflows is raising concerns. Bitcoin recently jumped 8.8%, reaching about $82,474, after Trump announced a 90-day pause on new tariffs (excluding China). Some fear this price rise could be followed by a pullback.

But not everyone is worried. Swyftx analyst Pav Hundal points out that the transfers might not mean investors are planning to sell. Instead, Binance could simply be preparing for more trading activity. In other words, the move might be about volume, not panic.

Trump’s Tariff Pause Eases Pressure—For Now

On April 9, Trump took a step back from his “reciprocal tariffs” plan, pausing it temporarily. Tariffs will stay at 10% for most countries, but China will face a much steeper rate of 125%. This decision gave markets a short-term boost and helped Bitcoin rise, but the bigger U.S.–China trade conflict is far from over. Hundal warns that ongoing tensions could continue to shake up risky assets like crypto.

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All Eyes on CPI Data

Market sentiment now hinges on inflation numbers. Some analysts, like Matthew Hyland, believe the March CPI could show a dramatic drop, possibly near 2.5%, which might fuel a Bitcoin rally. Another analyst, Dyme, expects BTC to rise if the CPI comes in lower than forecast.

Still, there’s reason to be cautious. Data from FactSet shows that most economists are predicting only a small increase—just 0.1%—for the month. If that holds true, the market reaction might be more muted.

With billions of dollars’ worth of Bitcoin flowing into Binance, the market is clearly at a key moment. Whether this signals investors getting ready to take profits, or simply reorganizing ahead of the CPI release, remains to be seen.

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