Bitcoin has become a hot topic among traders, with options bets suggesting that the cryptocurrency could reach an all-time high of $80,000 by the end of November—regardless of the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. As market volatility increases, many believe a significant price movement is on the horizon.
What’s coming next? Here we give you all the answers. Read on.
With the U.S. presidential election approaching, traders are increasingly betting on Bitcoin’s future performance, expecting it to exceed its previous highs. Speculation exists that a Republican win, especially by pro-crypto candidate Donald Trump, could raise Bitcoin’s price due to his favorable view on cryptocurrency.
However, some analysts contend that Bitcoin is set for growth no matter who wins, thanks to broader macroeconomic factors.
Jeff Mei, Chief Operating Officer at BTSE, noted that both Trump and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris have suggested pro-crypto policies. Trump has made strong promises to make the U.S. a leader in cryptocurrency, while Harris has focused on regulations aimed at protecting certain groups.
Despite these different approaches, traders seem confident that any political shift could positively impact Bitcoin’s price. Mei highlighted that factors like the Federal Reserve’s recent rate cuts and a rally in the stock market could help drive Bitcoin’s rise to $80,000.
Recent data from Deribit shows that options traders are heavily betting on Bitcoin’s price increase. Implied volatility for options expiring around the election is rising, with open interest concentrated at the $80,000 level for the November 29 expiration.
Additionally, options set to expire in December indicate significant interest in strike prices at $100,000, reflecting traders’ confidence in a bullish run for Bitcoin.
However, some experts, like Augustine Fan from SOFA, suggest that these bets might serve as a way to hedge against market risks linked to the election, rather than pure optimism about Bitcoin’s price. He explained that traders are taking these positions as a low-cost way to protect against potential big market movements after the election.
Is the $80,000 target a realistic expectation for Bitcoin? We’d love to hear your opinions.
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