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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Whales Buy the Dip, Retail Sells! What Next?

Published by
Mustafa Mulla

Bitcoin has been sinking like a stone, dropping 17% and reaching its lowest price since February 2024. But wait! Here’s a curious twist.

large-scale investors (whales) and sharks are steadily increasing their holdings. This trend hints that these investors are buying the dip. Do they know something we don’t?

Read on.

Whales Display Confidence

According to blockchain analytics platform Santiment, the number of Bitcoin whale and shark wallets is on the rise. These significant holders are accumulating more Bitcoin, demonstrating a strong belief in its long-term potential.

Throughout July, there has been a net increase of 261 wallets holding at least 10 BTC. This surge in large wallets indicates that big players are capitalizing on the lower prices, a move often interpreted as a sign of confidence in Bitcoin’s future growth.

Contrary to the behavior of these large holders, small traders have been selling off their Bitcoin during this dip period. This sell-off by smaller investors is likely driven by fear and uncertainty in the market. However, the accumulation by whales and sharks highlights a contrasting sentiment among experienced and larger investors.

Short-Term Caution vs Long-Term Optimism

While large Bitcoin holders continue to accumulate, some metrics suggest caution regarding a short-term price surge. Recently, Bitcoin experienced a 15% drop from its mid-March peak of over $73,500. This decline has raised concerns about the sustainability of Bitcoin’s upward trend.

According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin has now entered a risk zone based on the 60-day Realized Market Capitalization Variance (RCV). This metric, which tracks the two-month change in Bitcoin’s realized capitalization relative to its current market value, signals potential shifts in market dynamics.

The RCV is particularly useful for long-term investment strategies like Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA). Despite the current risk zone, there is still potential for growth. Readings near 0.70 on the RCV suggest that higher market valuations for Bitcoin could be on the horizon.

Despite the short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin seems to be getting brighter by the day. What does your strategy look like?

Mustafa Mulla

Mustafa has been writing about Blockchain and crypto since many years. He has previous trading experience and has been working in the Fintech industry since 2017.

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