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Bitcoin and Altcoins Could Surge in Q4 as Fed Signals More Rate Cuts

Published by
Rizwan Ansari and Sohrab Khawas

The U.S. Federal Reserve has ended its 10-month pause, cutting interest rates by 25 basis points this week. But the real bombshell isn’t the cut itself. It’s what comes next. Fed signals now point to multiple rate cuts ahead, a shift that could unleash fresh liquidity into markets. 

And according to crypto analyst VirtualBacon, this could be the spark that sends Bitcoin and major altcoins into a powerful Q4 rally.

Fed Signals 1-2 More Cuts Ahead

VirtualBacon pointed out that the Fed’s dot plots now suggest one to two more rate cuts by December. This easing cycle is important because lower interest rates usually boost high-risk assets like Bitcoin, making it easier for investors to put money into crypto.

The CME FedWatch data supports this view:

  • October meeting: 91% chance of a rate cut
  • December meeting: 83% chance of another cut
  • Less than 1% chance of no more cuts in 2025

The focus has shifted from “if” the Fed will cut rates again to “how many times,” which is a positive sign for crypto markets.

Jobs Data Driving Policy Shift

The Fed’s decision is heavily influenced by slower job growth. Annual revisions between May and August cut 911,000 jobs from 2024–25 totals, showing employment is weaker than expected.

Fed Chair Powell noted that jobs are more important than inflation right now, signaling a dovish stance that supports market liquidity. However, Powell carefully avoided labeling this move a “one-and-done,” instead pointing to the dot plots, code for “more cuts are on the table.”

Why Bitcoin & Altcoin Could Rally in Q4?

Rate cuts generally weaken the U.S. dollar and inject liquidity into risk assets like bitcoin altcoin.

  • Bitcoin is likely to benefit from increased liquidity and softer dollar conditions.
  • Large-cap altcoins like Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Binance Coin are already seeing rotation.
  • Analysts suggest this is a quarter-long trend, not a short-term spike, with altcoins likely to gain as Bitcoin dominance trends lower.

Even with quantitative tightening continuing at a minimal pace of $5 billion per month, the main driver for crypto is rate cuts, setting up ideal conditions for a late-year rally.

Therefore, VirtualBacon’s analysis shows that the Fed’s policy shift could trigger a strong rally in Bitcoin and altcoins through Q4, giving crypto markets a potentially powerful finish to 2025.

FAQs

Will the Fed cut interest rates again in 2025?

Yes, the Fed signals one to two more rate cuts by December 2025, with market data showing a very high probability of this happening.

How do Fed rate cuts affect Bitcoin?

Lower interest rates typically weaken the U.S. dollar and inject fresh liquidity into markets, which often boosts high-risk assets like Bitcoin.

Which cryptocurrencies benefit from rate cuts?

Bitcoin and large-cap altcoins like Ethereum, Solana, and XRP typically benefit from increased market liquidity and investor risk appetite.

Rizwan Ansari and Sohrab Khawas

Rizwan is an experienced Crypto journalist with almost half a decade of experience covering everything related to the growing crypto industry — from price analysis to blockchain disruption. During this period, he’s authored more than 3,000 news articles for Coinpedia News.

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