Will Bitcoin Price Rise as China’s Yuan Hits 2023 Lows? Here’s the Data

In a move that’s turning heads around the world, China has allowed the yuan to slip to its weakest level since 2023. While it may seem like just another shift in currency policy, this one carries some serious weight. It’s widely seen as a response to rising U.S. trade tariffs – but the ripple effects could reach far beyond trade. Some experts believe this dip could quietly spark a surge in Bitcoin.

Could a falling yuan be the push that reignites the crypto market? Here’s what’s really going on—and why it matters.

China’s Currency Strategy Takes a Turn

On April 8, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the yuan’s exchange rate at 7.2038 per U.S. dollar, marking its lowest point in several months. This suggests that China may be deliberately letting the yuan weaken to help make its exports more attractive, especially as trade tensions with the U.S. rise.

China has usually kept the yuan within a controlled range, so this shift could signal a change in approach that may have broader economic consequences.

Tensions escalated further after U.S. President Donald Trump Donald Trump Donald Trump is an American former president politician, businessman, and media personality, who served as the 45th president of the U.S. between 2017 to 2021. Trump earned a Bachelor of science in economics from the University of Pennsylvania in 1968. Trump won the 2016 presidential election as the Republican Party nominee against Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton while losing the popular vote. As president, Trump ordered a travel ban on citizens from several Muslim-majority countries, diverted military funding toward building a wall on the U.S.–Mexico border, and implemented a family separation policy. Trump has remained a prominent figure in the Republican Party and is considered a likely candidate for the 2024 presidential election President issued a strong warning to China. On Truth Social, he wrote:

“If China doesn’t remove its 34% increase on trade by April 8, 2025, the U.S. will add a 50% tariff starting April 9. Additionally, we will end all talks with China regarding their requested meetings.”

This tough stance may be putting more pressure on China’s economy – and its currency.

Could Bitcoin Benefit from a Weaker Yuan?

As the yuan drops, some experts believe Chinese investors could turn to Bitcoin to protect their money. Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, pointed to a similar moment in 2015, when a decline in the yuan led to a major rise in Bitcoin’s price. Back then, Bitcoin briefly fell—but then jumped nearly 60% within four months.

Ben Zhou, CEO of the crypto exchange Bybit, shared a similar view. He said that in the past, whenever the yuan weakened, large amounts of Chinese money flowed into Bitcoin. If that trend continues, we could see a strong rise in Bitcoin in the coming months.

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Strict Crypto Rules Could Slow Things Down

Still, investing in crypto in China isn’t easy. The country has some of the world’s strictest rules on digital currencies. Banks are required to monitor and report any suspicious international transactions, including those involving crypto.

Since August 2024, the Chinese government has stepped up efforts to stop money from leaving the country through digital assets. These crackdowns could make it harder for Bitcoin to gain momentum, even if interest grows.

While there are signs that Bitcoin could surge like it did in 2015, China’s tough rules may limit how much of that potential becomes reality. Investors and analysts alike will be watching closely to see whether history repeats itself – or if this time, things play out differently.

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