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Arthur Hayes Reveals Bold Crypto Market Prediction 2025

Published by
Vignesh S G

Arthur Hayes believes Bitcoin could skyrocket to $200,000 by Q3 2025, and potentially hit $1 million by 2028. His prediction is based on increasing market liquidity and expected pro-crypto policies under a Trump administration.

Recent market trends back his bullish sentiment:

  • January: BTC surged 9.54%
  • February: Price correction pushed BTC below the $100K mark
  • April: Strong rebound, but still below $100K
  • May 8: Single-day growth of 6.36%, finally breaking above $100K
  • May (so far): Up by 9.20%

Hayes explained that the U.S. government is quietly boosting market liquidity by draining the Treasury General Account and using extraordinary measures—a move that he says supports the ongoing Bitcoin rally.

Hayes on Ethereum vs. Solana: ETH Is Still King

When asked about altcoins, Hayes warned investors to be cautious:

“The next altcoin season will start once BTC hits $150K–$200K, but don’t expect 2021-style gains for everything,” he cautioned.

His advice:

  • Avoid dino coins (old, underperforming tokens)
  • Look for tokens with high FDV, low float, no users, or no revenue
  • Always ask: Can it outperform Bitcoin?

Hayes also made it clear: he’s bullish on Ethereum over Solana.

  • Ethereum remains undervalued and underestimated
  • ETH leads in TVL, developer activity, and security
  • He predicts Ethereum will outperform Solana over the next 18 to 24 months

Performance Comparison (Last 30 Days):

  • Ethereum: +48.9%
  • Solana: +17.7%

Past 7 Days:

  • Ethereum: -4.5%
  • Solana: -6.6%

Hayes Is Holding 20% in Gold – Here’s the Reason

Despite being a crypto advocate, Hayes keeps 20% of his portfolio in gold, citing:

  • Central bank accumulation
  • Risk of U.S. dollar devaluation

He predicts gold could reach $10,000 to $20,000 per ounce.

Gold Price Highlights (2025 YTD):

  • YTD: +22.96%
  • April: +5.26%
  • April 9–21: +14.85%
  • May (so far): -1.78%
  • May 5–6: +5.90%

Final Thoughts: Is the Market Ready for a New Cycle?

Arthur Hayes’ market insights combine macroeconomic observations with crypto-specific trends. His bullish outlook on Bitcoin and Ethereum—alongside caution on altcoins and a hedge in gold—paints a clear picture of what top investors are watching in 2025.

As Bitcoin eyes new all-time highs and Ethereum shows resilience, investors may want to closely monitor the liquidity cycle, political developments, and institutional behavior in the coming months.

FAQs

How has Bitcoin performed in 2025 so far?

2025: January +9.54%, February dip below $100K, April rebound under $100K, May +9.20% (6.36% on May 8).

How much will 1 Bitcoin cost in 2025?

Hayes’s target is $200K by Q3 2025; broader analyst ranges sit between $150K–$250K given macro liquidity.

How much will 1 Bitcoin be worth in 2030?

Based on Hayes’s $1 M by 2028 call, BTC could exceed $1 M by 2030, with some forecasts up to $1.5 M.

Vignesh S G

Vignesh is a young journalist with a decade of experience. A proud alumnus of IIJNM, Bengaluru, he spent six years as a Sub-Editor for a leading business magazine, published from Kerala. His interest in futuristic technologies took him to a US-based software company specialising in Web3, Blockchain and AI. This stint inspired him to view the future of journalism through the lens of next generation technologies. Now, he covers the crypto scene for Coinpedia, uncovering a vibrant new world where technology and journalism converge.

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