Analyst Reveals the Exact Conditions That Could Push XRP Price to $10

Analysts have previously argued that XRP needs to reach at least $10 to deliver the returns most retail holders are expecting. Jake Claver, a digital asset analyst whose clients hold significant XRP positions, says that target is achievable but only if a specific set of conditions align at the same time.

The $10 Target and What It Requires

Claver was open about the conditions needed. A $10 XRP is not the default outcome. It is the outcome of a perfect storm, and several events need to play out in sequence for that storm to materialise.

The most important piece is the CLARITY Act. Claver argued that the legislation is not just important for crypto sentiment. It is structurally critical for the global financial system. His reasoning is specific and largely absent from mainstream coverage.

When the yen carry trade eventually unwinds, a significant volume of U.S. Treasuries will hit the market as Japanese and other foreign investors sell American bonds to buy domestic assets. The U.S. needs domestic demand to absorb those Treasuries without destabilising the bond market. 

Stablecoins, which under the GENIUS Act framework are required to be backed by U.S. Treasuries, represent that domestic demand. Without stablecoin regulation in place, banks are not positioned to issue them at scale, and without that scale, the safety net for the bond market does not exist.

“If we don’t have stablecoin regulations solidified, the banks aren’t going to be in a position to do that,” Claver said. “Stablecoins are the domestic demand to stabilise the bond market and make sure the whole global financial system doesn’t collapse.”

In that framing, the CLARITY Act and the GENIUS Act are not just crypto regulation. They are systemic financial infrastructure, and their passage unlocks the conditions under which XRP’s cross-border settlement utility becomes indispensable at institutional scale.

Where XRP Stands Right Now

XRP briefly touched $1.00 this week before recovering slightly, sitting approximately 70% below its all-time high. Claver described current prices as a buying opportunity.

A $10 XRP requires the CLARITY Act to pass, stablecoin regulation to reach the banks, institutional capital to enter the market and the macro environment to shift toward rate cuts as inflation cools. 

None of those things are guaranteed. But Claver believes they are all more likely than not to occur before this cycle ends, and that the investors positioned now are the ones who will benefit most when they do.