The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, leaving its benchmark range at 3.75% to 4% after a quarter-point hike in September. CME FedWatch data shows markets pricing less than a 10% chance of another increase, though traders see a hike in December as likely. With no new dot plot or economic projections at this meeting, attention will turn to Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference. Cleveland’s Beth Hammack, Dallas’s Lorie Logan and Minneapolis’s Neel Kashkari could dissent, having opposed a hold in July. JPMorgan chief US economist Michael Feroli said Warsh must explain why the Fed hiked after a 0.2% core PCE reading for August but may pause despite an expected 0.3% rise for September. The decision lands less than a week before the US midterm elections.
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